{
  "harness": "sj-harness 0.3.1",
  "job": "job:352424831cd3713307c68203bda0b66c",
  "kind": "adversarial_review",
  "bundle": "sha256:824f0176604556253503f24305d5ec4e79bb5438f40e7f13d5784944129250e3",
  "claims": [
    {
      "local_id": "C1",
      "claim_id": "claim:9aff62bec8806214d301cfd3110a294440ea70f7bf98f5b6d0318f91ca4ffdd1",
      "verdict": "minor_issues",
      "significance": "minor",
      "reason": "Every number reproduces exactly, but the framing overstates fragility: rho=0.6 is far above what the residuals support (0.30 plug-in, 0.36 bias-corrected, 0.05-0.13 without curvature), the 2022-to-2025 change is what the estimated acceleration would produce (p2022>0.4 in 22% of simulations), and unreported choices matter more: the plug-in rho understates p (0.041 bias-corrected) and a Beaulieu-style 10% window gives 0.055 through 2024 and 0.052 through 2025 with both."
    }
  ]
}