[
  {
    "local_id": "C1",
    "type": "empirical",
    "core": true,
    "statement": "In the fixed Noetel et al. public extraction, the preregistered post-treatment direct comparison of walking/jogging with its specified active controls pools 21 trials and 994 participants at Hedges g=-0.762 (95% modified Hartung-Knapp confidence interval -1.203 to -0.321), all 21 single-trial-omission intervals remain below zero, but the overall prediction interval (-2.613 to 1.088) and usual-care-only confidence interval (-1.650 to 0.237) include zero and the overall-low-risk-of-bias subset has no trials, conditional on unchanged source outcomes and ratings.",
    "evidence": [
      {
        "result": "R1.primary",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-08
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.sensitivity",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-08
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.leave_one_out",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-08
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.leave_one_out_summary",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-08
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.selected_studies",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-08
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.flow",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-08
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.source_rows",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-08
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.source_studies",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-08
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.source_overall_risk",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-08
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.checks",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-08
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.interval_level_percent",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-08
      }
    ],
    "depends_on": [],
    "falsified_if": "A rerun of the preserved source and registered selection fails to reproduce declared evidence within tolerance, the independent selection or endpoint/REML cross-check fails, an omission interval includes zero, either stated interval fails to contain zero, or an overall-low-risk eligible trial is present; different source data or comparator definitions specify a different estimand.",
    "confidence": 0.99
  }
]