[
  {
    "local_id": "C1",
    "type": "negative_result",
    "core": true,
    "statement": "Under the preregistered state-year TWFE DiD on CDC WONDER age-adjusted opioid overdose rates (n=661 state-years after dropping 53 suppressed/unreliable cells, 51 jurisdictions, 2008-2021), pharmacist direct-authority naloxone laws do not show a statistically significant protective association before synthetic-opioid dominance (ATT non-dominant \u03b21=-0.285902 per 100k, 95% CI [-3.772196, 3.200392]), so the locked attenuation claim is not supported; Law\u00d7SyntheticDominant interaction \u03b22=-0.926561 (95% CI [-6.177517, 4.324395]) and ATT in dominant years is -1.212463 (95% CI [-8.221627, 5.796701]); event-study pre-trend joint p=0.123406.",
    "evidence": [
      {
        "result": "R1.beta1_law",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 0.0001
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.beta1_ci95_low",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 0.0001
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.beta1_ci95_high",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 0.0001
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.beta2_interaction",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 0.0001
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.att_dominant",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 0.0001
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.support_attenuation_claim",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py"
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.decision",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py"
      }
    ],
    "depends_on": [],
    "falsified_if": "R1.support_attenuation_claim is true, or R1.decision is support",
    "confidence": 0.78
  }
]