[
  {
    "local_id": "C1",
    "type": "empirical",
    "core": true,
    "statement": "Conditional on the frozen Great Britain national intensity snapshot and a uniform half-hour arrival workload, three-hour jobs allowed up to six hours of start delay have 11.24% and 12.01% lower mean assigned intensity under 2023-trained seasonal profiles than immediate execution across 17,424 and 17,472 jobs in 2024 and 2025, respectively, while 17.61% and 15.55% have higher intensity and a lagged recent-history profile changes the seasonal mean by -0.21 and -0.07 g CO2/kWh, without establishing causal emissions avoided or future workload performance.",
    "evidence": [
      {
        "result": "R1.primary.2024.policies.seasonal.jobs",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-06
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.primary.2024.policies.seasonal.percent_reduction",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-06
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.primary.2024.policies.seasonal.higher_percent",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-06
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.primary.2024.policies.seasonal.mean_delay_hours",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-06
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.primary.2024.policies.seasonal.mean_intensity_gco2_per_kwh",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-06
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.primary.2024.recent_minus_seasonal_gco2_per_kwh",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-06
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.primary.2025.policies.seasonal.jobs",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-06
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.primary.2025.policies.seasonal.percent_reduction",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-06
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.primary.2025.policies.seasonal.higher_percent",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-06
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.primary.2025.policies.seasonal.mean_delay_hours",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-06
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.primary.2025.policies.seasonal.mean_intensity_gco2_per_kwh",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-06
      },
      {
        "result": "R1.primary.2025.recent_minus_seasonal_gco2_per_kwh",
        "produced_by": "code/analyze.py",
        "tolerance": 1e-06
      }
    ],
    "depends_on": [],
    "falsified_if": "The documented raw snapshot and policy definitions fail to reproduce any claim-linked result within its declared tolerance. This claim makes no assertion about true marginal emissions, unseen years or real deployment workloads.",
    "confidence": 0.98
  }
]