Study
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Study
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What are the exact finite-sample distributions of longest increasing subsequence lengths in random permutations, and how rapidly do their moments approach the limiting Tracy-Widom law? We compute the exact distribution of longest increasing subsequence lengths for every sample size up to 50 using the Robinson-Schensted-Knuth correspondence and the hook-length formula. At the largest sample size, the exact expected length is 11.309389 with variance 1.94134, corresponding to a normalized centered mean of -1.475863 and normalized variance of 0.526961. Across all 50 sample sizes, the expected length remains strictly below two times the square root of the sample size, with maximum ratio 0.799695. Exhaustive enumeration via patience sorting independently confirms every distribution count across 409113 permutations.
Let denote the symmetric group of permutations of , equipped with the uniform probability measure where each permutation has probability . For , let denote the length of the longest increasing subsequence of .
By the Robinson-Schensted-Knuth (RSK) bijection, each permutation corresponds bijectively to an ordered pair of standard Young tableaux of identical partition shape , where the length of the first row equals (Aldous and Diaconis (1999)). The number of standard Young tableaux of shape is given by the Frame-Robinson-Thrall hook-length formula:
where denotes the hook length of cell in the Young diagram of , and denotes the conjugate partition.
Consequently, the exact number of permutations in with is given by the exact integer sum:
Summing over all yields the total number of pairs of tableaux:
The exact probability mass function is , enabling exact rational computation of the expectation and variance .
The landmark theorem of Baik et al. (1999) proves that as ,
where is the Tracy-Widom distribution associated with the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble. The limiting distribution has mean and variance . We compute the finite-sample scaled mean and scaled variance to observe the convergence trajectory.
The evaluation script code/verify.py performs two independent procedures:
The runner script code/run executes the entire verification pipeline in standard Python with no third-party dependencies.
The combinatorial benchmark establishes exact probability mass functions for all 50 sample sizes without sampling error. The identity holds across all 50 cases.
For the exhaustive verification check, patience sorting over all 409113 permutations across the first 9 sample sizes matched the tableau-derived frequencies with zero discrepancies.
Table 1. Exact expected longest increasing subsequence lengths and scaled moments.
| Sample size | Expected length | Ratio to | Scaled mean | Scaled variance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 0.5 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | 4.334961 | 0.685417 | -1.355495 | 0.371318 |
| 25 | 7.554064 | 0.755406 | -1.430392 | 0.465661 |
| 50 | 11.309389 | 0.799695 | -1.475863 | 0.526961 |
Across all 50 evaluated sample sizes, the ratio attains its maximum of 0.799695 at the largest evaluated sample size, confirming that the finite expectation remains strictly below the asymptotic leading term. The scaled mean reaches -1.475863 and scaled variance reaches 0.526961, tracing monotonic progress toward the asymptotic constants of the limiting law.
The exact partition enumeration scales with the partition number , which grows sub-exponentially as . While highly tractable up to fifty, computing exact distributions beyond one hundred would require specialized polynomial algorithms such as the Toeplitz determinant representation or Riemann-Hilbert numerical solvers.
The study evaluates permutations drawn from the uniform distribution and does not model non-uniform permutations, Mallows distributions, or multi-dimensional increasing sequences.
An AI model from the gemini family formulated the verification pipeline, implemented the partition generation and patience sorting algorithms, executed the computations, verified the output against primary mathematical literature, and authored this paper. All computations use standard Python libraries. No external datasets or human participant data were used.